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The recent international epidemic has spread, and the demand for masks has soared. Polypropylene, the raw material for mask meltblown cloth, has become a hotspot in the market hype. The propylene family took the opportunity to catch fire, and once the limelight was even worse than crude oil. On April 10-14, the polypropylene market began to exert its strength, with an increase of more than 50% in just a few days. Old father, Propylene, was unwilling to lag behind. During the same period, it rose 23.7%, driving the price of downstream descendants butanol and acrylic acid to rise 15 More than%, but acrylonitrile, which is also downstream of propylene, failed to catch this soaring luxury train. It only rose symbolically by 3% during the 10-14th, and the overall decline has not changed.

In fact, the recent contradiction between supply and demand in the acrylonitrile market is serious. The factory started to operate at a high level, and Zhejiang Petrochemical's 260,000-ton / year plant is scheduled to be put into operation within a month. The market supply increase is expected to become stronger. The global epidemic has led to limited terminal exports and market demand is very low. At present, manufacturers have suffered serious losses, and the resistance to price increases is quite large.

In the long run, the domestic acrylonitrile industry is also not optimistic. The domestic production capacity is increasing day by day. In 2019, the 260,000-ton / year acrylonitrile unit in Jiangsu Silbang was put into operation, which increased the total domestic acrylonitrile production capacity to 2.33 million tons / year. During 2020-2021, there will be a large number of devices planned to be put into operation in Zhejiang Petrochemical 260,000 tons / year, Kruul 130,000 tons / year, CNOOC Dongfang Petrochemical 200,000 tons / year, etc. According to incomplete statistics from Chemical Online (www.chemsino.com), the total production capacity of the projects planned to be put into operation in the next two years will reach 1.5 million tons / year, accounting for more than half of the existing production capacity, and the market will gradually move towards a situation of severe oversupply.

Although the production capacity has gradually expanded and the output has increased synchronously, the domestic imports of acrylonitrile have basically remained at 25-40 million tons in recent years. The sources of acrylonitrile imports are mainly concentrated in Taiwan, South Korea and Japan. The main import manufacturers are Zhenjiang Chimei, Taihua Plastics, Ningbo Lejin and other plastics companies that produce ABS. These companies mainly import long-term contracts, so the future The import volume will remain at a relatively stable level.

At the same time, the growth rate of the downstream industry of acrylonitrile is far inferior to that of raw materials. Acrylonitrile is mainly used to produce ABS, acrylic and acrylamide products. In recent years, ABS has witnessed a healthy development of the industry as a whole, and the main downstream home appliances sector has performed well. Taking air-conditioning products as an example, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed that China's air-conditioning output reached 218.6662 million units in 2019, a cumulative increase of 6.5%, effectively supporting the demand of the ABS industry. But this year, affected by the epidemic, the export of home appliances has been restricted, and the overall demand is expected to decline. In terms of acrylic fiber, under the pressure of environmental protection pressure and product simplification, the development of the acrylic fiber industry is very slow. The acrylic industry lacks high value-added and differentiated products. With the rapid development of domestic chemical fiber, especially polyester and viscose in the past ten years, it has produced substitution impacts on acrylic products.

On the whole, the short-term supply and demand contradiction in the acrylonitrile market is serious, and prices are under pressure, making it difficult to follow the C3 industry chain. In the future, acrylonitrile production capacity will increase significantly, while at the same time, the import volume and demand will not change greatly, the market pressure is greater, and the prospect is worrying.

Dongyang Laichi Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd. has always been committed to the research, development and production of medical nonwoven fabrics, spunbond nonwoven fabrics, elastic nonwoven fabrics, and nonwoven fabric products. The elastic non-woven fabrics produced by it can be replaced, recycled, and reused, and can no longer worry about health problems.

If you want to know more product information, please contact: Mr. Zhu 13706796423 Website: http://mengyuehaishen.cn/En_index.html